NYSE: HQY - HealthEquity

Yield per half year: +29.72%
Sector: Healthcare

Current price: 83.07 $
Average price: 68.43 $

Price according to DCF model (ebitda): 81.17 $ -2.29%
Price according to DCF model (FCF): 54.08 $ -34.89%
Price based on EPS: 74.21 $ -10.66%
Discount price Net Income: 64.26 $ -22.65%
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Discounted Cash Flow (Based on EBITDA)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount Ebitda(5) * (1 + Ebitda Yield) / (WACC - Ebitda Yield)
Company Value = ∑ (Future Ebitda / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 81.17 $
Current price = 83.07 $ (difference = -2.29%)


Data

Discounted Cash Flow (Based on FCF)

Price = (Terminal Value + Company Value) / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Terminal Value — cost in the post-forecast period
Company Value — cost during the forecast period
Count shares - Number of shares
Terminal Value = Discount FCF(5) * (1 + FCF Yield) / (WACC - FCF Yield) ^ 5
Company Value = ∑ (FCF / (1 + WACC) ^ 5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 54.08 $
Current price = 83.07 $ (difference = -34.89%)


Data

Price based on EPS

Price = EPS * (1 + CAGR EPS) / (Key Rate * Excess Key Rate)
Key Rate = Key rate
Fair price = 74.21 $
Current price = 83.07 $ (difference = -10.66%)


Data

Discount price Net Income

Price = Fair cap / Count shares
Price - Fair price
Fair cap — fair capitalization
Count shares - Number of shares
Fair cap = Avg(P/E) * Discount Net Income(5)
WACC - weighted average cost of capital (taking into account country risks, inflation, taxes, etc.)
Fair price = 64.26 $
Current price = 83.07 $ (difference = -22.65%)


Data