MOEX: MTSS - МТС

Yield per half year: +0.4346%
Sector: Телеком

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • Positive review Dividends (11.9%) are higher than the sector average (3.53%).
  • Positive review Current debt level 43.67% is below 100% and has decreased over 5 years from 57.72%.

Disadvantages

  • Negative review Price (288.9 ₽) is higher than fair price (64.07 ₽)
  • Negative review The stock's return over the last year (11.48%) is lower than the sector average (15.17%).
  • Negative review The company's current efficiency (ROE=-382.5%) is lower than the sector average (ROE=-21.97%)

2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.2. News

2.3. Market efficiency

МТС Телеком Index
7 days 3.7% -4.9% 4%
90 days 15% -8.6% 4%
1 year 11.5% 15.2% 43.3%

Neutral review MTSS vs Sector: МТС has slightly underperformed the "Телеком" sector by -3.69% over the past year.

Negative review MTSS vs Market: МТС has significantly underperformed the market by -31.82% over the past year.

Positive review Stable price: MTSS is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "Московская биржа" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: MTSS with weekly volatility of 0.2208% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 12.9
P/S: 0.98

3.2. Revenue

EPS 22.4
ROE -382.5%
ROA 3.9%
ROIC 13.47%
Ebitda margin 40.3%

4. Fundamental Analysis

4.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Negative review company.analysis.fundamental.minus11_title: The current price (288.9 ₽) is higher than the fair price (64.07 ₽).

Negative review Price is higher than fair: The current price (288.9 ₽) is 77.8% higher than the fair price.

4.2. P/E

Negative review P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (12.9) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (6.79).

Positive review P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (12.9) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.31).

4.2.1 P/E Similar companies

4.3. P/BV

Positive review P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (-3.11) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (-0.1838).

Positive review P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (-3.11) is lower than that of the market as a whole (-0.1823).

4.4. P/S

Positive review P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (0.98) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (1.1139).

Positive review P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (0.98) is lower than that of the market as a whole (2.53).

4.4.1 P/S Similar companies

4.5. EV/Ebitda

Negative review EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (4.27) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (4.08).

Positive review EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (4.27) is lower than that of the market as a whole (6.15).


5. Profitability

5.1. Profitability and revenue

5.2. Earnings per share - EPS

5.3. Past profitability Ebitda

Negative review Yield Trend: Negative and has fallen by -3.48% over the last 5 years.

Positive review Accelerating profitability: The return for the last year (29.44%) exceeds the average return for 5 years (-3.48%).

Positive review Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (29.44%) exceeds the return for the sector (-27.27%).

5.4. ROE

Negative review ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (-382.5%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (-21.97%).

Negative review ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (-382.5%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.65%).

5.5. ROA

Negative review ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (3.9%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (6.16%).

Negative review ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (3.9%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (7.21%).

5.6. ROIC

Positive review ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (13.47%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (11.03%).

Negative review ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (13.47%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (13.52%).

6. Finance

6.1. Assets and debt

Positive review Debt level: (43.67%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Positive review Debt reduction: over 5 years, the debt has decreased from 57.72% to 43.67%.

Negative review Excess of debt: The debt is not covered by net income, percentage 1128.79%.

6.2. Profit growth and share price

7. Dividends

7.1. Dividend yield vs Market

Positive review High yield: The dividend yield of the company 11.9% is higher than the average for the sector '3.53%.

7.2. Stability and increase in payments

Positive review Dividend stability: The company's dividend yield 11.9% has been steadily paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.86.

Negative review Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 11.9% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 2 years.

7.3. Payout percentage

Negative review Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (150%) are at an uncomfortable level.

8. Insider trades

8.1. Insider trading

Negative review Insider Selling More insider purchases by 100% over the last 3 months.

8.2. Latest transactions

Transaction date Insider Type Price Volume Quantity
18.12.2023 ООО "Бастион"
Подконтрольная эмитенту организация
Sale 91.2 13 552 300 000 148600000
20.11.2023 ООО "Бастион"
Подконтрольная эмитенту организация
Sale 271.4 4 141 020 15258
12.05.2023 ООО "Бастион"
Подконтрольная эмитенту организация
Sale 287.6 9 222 180 32066
05.04.2023 ООО "Бастион"
Подконтрольная эмитенту организация
Sale 254.95 271 174 000 1063637
22.03.2023 ООО "Бастион"
Подконтрольная эмитенту организация
Sale 254.4 6 183 450 24306

8.3. Main owners

9. Stocks forum МТС

9.1. Latest comments

9 December 2022 02:50

Думаю покупать или нет, но с декабря 2021 года просто интенсивное падение происходит. Притом бывает небольшой подъем, но потом ощутимый спад. Сейчас судя по графику опять спад начинается. Подождать месяц пока упадет максимально и брать? Или какой прогноз?

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