MOEX: NLMK - НЛМК

Yield per half year: -1.0875%
Sector: Металлургия Черн.

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1. Summary

Advantages

  • Positive review Current debt level 13.29% is below 100% and has decreased over 5 years from 16.91%.
  • Positive review The company's current efficiency (ROE=12.5%) is higher than the sector average (ROE=5.4%)

Disadvantages

  • Negative review Price (200.1 ₽) is higher than fair price (48.4 ₽)
  • Negative review Dividends (0%) are below the sector average (3.05%).
  • Negative review The stock's return over the last year (55.77%) is lower than the sector average (124.91%).

2. Share price and performance

2.1. Share price

2.2. News

2.3. Market efficiency

НЛМК Металлургия Черн. Index
7 days 3.5% -8.3% 3.6%
90 days 15.8% 0.1% 2.9%
1 year 55.8% 124.9% 44.5%

Negative review NLMK vs Sector: НЛМК has significantly underperformed the "Металлургия Черн." sector by -69.14% over the past year.

Positive review NLMK vs Market: НЛМК has outperformed the market by 11.22% over the past year.

Positive review Stable price: NLMK is not significantly more volatile than the rest of the market on "Московская биржа" over the last 3 months, with typical variations of +/- 5% per week.

Long period: NLMK with weekly volatility of 1.0725% over the past year.

3. Summary of the report

3.1. General

P/E: 13
P/S: 2.36

3.2. Revenue

EPS 15.3
ROE 12.5%
ROA 8.8%
ROIC 56.09%
Ebitda margin 0%

4. Fundamental Analysis

4.1. Stock price and price forecast

The fair price is calculated taking into account the Central Bank refinancing rate and earnings per share (EPS)

Negative review company.analysis.fundamental.minus11_title: The current price (200.1 ₽) is higher than the fair price (48.4 ₽).

Negative review Price is higher than fair: The current price (200.1 ₽) is 75.8% higher than the fair price.

4.2. P/E

Negative review P/E vs Sector: The company's P/E (13) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (7.93).

Positive review P/E vs Market: The company's P/E (13) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.31).

4.2.1 P/E Similar companies

4.3. P/BV

Negative review P/BV vs Sector: The company's P/BV (1.68) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (0.6775).

Negative review P/BV vs Market: The company's P/BV (1.68) is higher than that of the market as a whole (-0.1823).

4.3.1 P/BV Similar companies

4.4. P/S

Negative review P/S vs Sector: The company's P/S indicator (2.36) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (1.3125).

Positive review P/S vs Market: The company's P/S indicator (2.36) is lower than that of the market as a whole (2.53).

4.4.1 P/S Similar companies

4.5. EV/Ebitda

Positive review EV/Ebitda vs Sector: The company's EV/Ebitda (2.27) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (3.38).

Positive review EV/Ebitda vs Market: The company's EV/Ebitda (2.27) is lower than that of the market as a whole (6.15).


5. Profitability

5.1. Profitability and revenue

5.2. Earnings per share - EPS

5.3. Past profitability Ebitda

Negative review Yield Trend: Negative and has fallen by -3.01% over the last 5 years.

Positive review Accelerating profitability: The return for the last year (0%) exceeds the average return for 5 years (-3.01%).

Positive review Profitability vs Sector: The return for the last year (0%) exceeds the return for the sector (-46.7%).

5.4. ROE

Positive review ROE vs Sector: The company's ROE (12.5%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (5.4%).

Negative review ROE vs Market: The company's ROE (12.5%) is lower than that of the market as a whole (14.65%).

5.5. ROA

Negative review ROA vs Sector: The company's ROA (8.8%) is lower than that of the sector as a whole (12.4%).

Positive review ROA vs Market: The company's ROA (8.8%) is higher than that of the market as a whole (7.21%).

5.6. ROIC

Positive review ROIC vs Sector: The company's ROIC (56.09%) is higher than that of the sector as a whole (42.77%).

Positive review ROIC vs Market: The company's ROIC (56.09%) is higher than that of the market as a whole (13.52%).

6. Finance

6.1. Assets and debt

Positive review Debt level: (13.29%) is quite low in relation to assets.

Positive review Debt reduction: over 5 years, the debt has decreased from 16.91% to 13.29%.

Negative review Excess of debt: The debt is not covered by net income, percentage 150.87%.

6.2. Profit growth and share price

7. Dividends

7.1. Dividend yield vs Market

Negative review Low yield: The dividend yield of the company 0% is below the average for the sector '3.05%.

7.2. Stability and increase in payments

Positive review Dividend stability: The company's dividend yield 0% has been steadily paid over the past 7 years, DSI=0.79.

Negative review Weak dividend growth: The company's dividend yield 0% has been growing weakly or stagnant over the past 5 years. Growth over only 2 years.

7.3. Payout percentage

Negative review Dividend Coverage: Current payments from income (0%) are at an uncomfortable level.

8. Insider trades

8.1. Insider trading

Positive review Insider Buying Exceeds insider sales by 100% over the last 3 months.

8.2. Latest transactions

Transaction date Insider Type Price Volume Quantity
28.07.2021 Шекшня Станислав Владимирович
Член Совета директоров
Sale 256.28 1 474 380 5753
18.02.2021 Шортино Бенедикт
Член Совета директоров
Buy 203.76 14 059 400 69000
07.01.2021 Ольга Аршакуни
Лицо, связанное с Константином Аршакуни, Вице-президентом по стратегии ПАО "НЛМК"
Sale 217.16 41 494 900 191080
15.12.2020 Федоришин Григорий Витальевич
Президент (Председатель Правления)
Sale 209.67 37 321 000 177999
14.12.2020 Шортино Бенедикт
Член Совета директоров
Buy 213.17 14 708 700 69000

8.3. Main owners

9. Stocks forum НЛМК

9.1. Latest comments

30 December 2022 00:09

Они под прямые санкции не попали , по этому думаю они могут прилично вырасти в будущем году.

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9 December 2022 01:53

Подскажите кто понимает, НЛМК в сентябре-октябре очень сильно просели, потом начался рост, который идет и сейчас. Он небольшой, но все же. Будут ли расти дальше? Ведь если посмотреть график за год, пока было только падение. Может сейчас пойдет серьезный рост?

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